The next most likely scenario is a massive full-scale invasion of Ukraine from all fronts with the intent of taking Kyiv and establishing a pro-Russian government in place of the current more western-friendly Zelensky administration. This would establish a land bridge between Russia and Crimea, which is of immense strategic importance to Russia. How large that incursion might actually be remains to be seen, but the most likely scenario is Russia moving in from the southeast and capturing territory south of line from Luhanks to Donetsk to Zaporizhzhia, and then southwest to Kherson along the Dnieper River. The buildup far exceeds what Russia had in place when they annexed Crimea in 2014, and there is global concern of another incursion into Ukrainian territory within the next four weeks or so. Russian troop placements currently have Ukraine surrounded, with troops and equipment in Belarus to the north, Russia to the east, Crimea to the south, and Moldova to the west. Russia continues to amass troops and military hardware around Ukraine at an unprecedented level. However, there are events occurring in the world theater which require closer monitoring. There are currently no imminent nuclear threats at this time.
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